A first look at the Sioux PWR

For years, college hockey fans online have been discussing the PairWise Rankings as soon as they could begin calculating them. However, the unofficial start of the “bracketology” season is still when USCHO joins the party with their own PWR calculation and their bracketology column. (As a side note, see Does USCHO Own Pairwise, if you missed it, for an interesting look at whether USCHO owns the term Pairwise, with some of the big players in the story having left comments on the blog).

In games played through January 21, the Sioux are currently 5th in the Pairwise. Though many comparisons have been made between this season and past Hakstol seasons that started slow and ended with a hot run to the NCAA tournament, the PWR tells us this year is different.

The PWR Trend Chart shows the Sioux have never dipped lower than #9 this season, a guaranteed tournament berth if maintained until season end.

While the Sioux could definitely fall (see the caveat at the end of the column), right now we’re interested in how they can rise. A top four ranking could result in a favorable #1 tournament seed. To look at how a team can rise, you need to examine those comparisons that the team is currently losing, and figure out if and how each can be won. From the UND PWR details page, those are:

Clarkson

Clarkson holds only a 2-1 advantage in this comparison.

Clarkson takes the TUC and COP points, with plenty of games remaining in both. If the Sioux can flip either and hold onto their RPI advantage, this could be an easy point to grab.

Remaining COP games include two Clarkson games vs. CC and two UND games vs. SCSU.

Colorado College

Colorado College holds a daunting 4-1 lead in this comparison.

A good run by the Sioux combined with a downturn for CC could let UND snag two of RPI, COP, and TUC, but UND is not in the driver’s seat on this one.

Denver

Though Denver also holds a 4-1 lead in this comparison, UND has more direct control thanks to two remaining head-to-head games (at Grand Forks, Feb 15-16). Those provide the best opportunity for UND to gain ground in a hurry, though even a split would leave UND chasing two of the three TUC, RPI, and COP, just as with CC.

Miami

Miami holds a 2-0 lead.

It’s not guaranteed that Miami will hit the required 10 games vs. TUCs to bring that comparison criterion into play.

That leaves UND needing to take the RPI, which is quite doable.

Michigan

Michigan holds a 3-0 lead in this comparison.

It’s TUC, COP, and RPI leads are more formidable than any of the other teams listed above. This one’s a long-shot.

Caveat lector

Looking at individual comparisons, like I did above, is almost useless this early in the season. Because teams fall into and out of being a TUC, the fortunes of teams such as Mankato (#25) and Michigan Tech (#22) could easily double the size of UND’s lost comparison list.

Then why do we bother? It seems fun.

PWR resources

SiouxSports.com Pairwise table
USCHO Pairwise table
CollegeHockeyNews Pairwise table
USCHO Pairwise explanationrpihockey.net comparison of rankings
SiouxSports.com Rankings Trends Charts

Game Preview: UND vs. MSU-Mankato

The second-half surge is upon us.

Looking at the 4-2-0 record that UND has posted in the past three weekends, the above point may be debatable. But watching the way this team has played in home series against New Hampshire and Michigan Tech and on the road at St. Cloud State, it is clear that the Sioux are poised and ready for another playoff run.

The second-half schedule is laid out nicely for North Dakota to hold on to a top-three spot in the conference, and perhaps push Denver for second place. Either way, UND is positioned nicely for the Final Five and an NCAA tournament run, thanks in no small part to their strength of schedule and non-conference record.

The Mavericks are the only WCHA team scoring under two goals per game in the conference, and that trend will continue against a much-improved defensive corps, one of the nation’s best goaltenders, and the country’s 5th best penalty kill.

MSU-Mankato Team Profile
National Rankings: #20/-
Head Coach: Troy Jutting (8th season at MSU-M, 117-137-38, .466)
This Season: 9-8-4 Overall, 3-7-4 WCHA (9th)
Specialty Teams: Power Play 10.8% (10 of 93), Penalty Kill 85.8% (97 of 113)
Last Season: 13-19-6, 10-13-5 WCHA (8th)
Key Players: Sophomore F Trevor Breuss (5-11-16), Senior F Joel Hanson (4-8-12), Junior F Mick Berge (10-2-12), Junior G Mike Zacharias (8-5-4, 1.94 GAA, .930 SV, 3 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile
National Rankings: #6/#7
Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (4th season at UND, 90-53-12, .619)
This Season: 12-8-1 Overall, 9-7-0 WCHA (3rd)
Specialty Teams: Power Play 17.4% (15 of 86), Penalty Kill 89.3% (92 of 103)
Last Season: 24-14-5 (Frozen Four semifinalist), 13-10-5 WCHA (3rd)
Key Players: Junior F Ryan Duncan (9-13-22), Junior F T.J. Oshie (10-10-20), Sophomore F Chris VandeVelde (8-11-19), Senior D Robbie Bina (1-17-18), Junior D Taylor Chorney (2-14-16), Senior G Jean-Philippe Lamoureux (12-8-1, 1.86 GAA, .929 SV)

By The Numbers
Last Meeting: March 10, 2007. (Grand Forks, ND) North Dakota defeats MSU-Mankato, 2-1, to complete a two-game sweep of the Mavericks in the opening round of the WCHA playoffs. The Sioux advance to the Final Five riding a 14-2-4 second-half record.
Last Meeting in Mankato: October 28, 2006. UND defeats the Mavs, 8-5, to complete a two game road sweep. North Dakota scored the only three goals of the third period for the victory.
All-time: UND leads the all-time series 26-9-7 (.702), including a 9-3-4 (.688) record in Mankato. Remarkably, 10 of the 42 games played between the two teams have come in the WCHA playoffs, with North Dakota winning eight of those ten games.

Game News and Notes
UND has won at least one game on 20 consecutive regular season weekends, tops among WCHA teams. The Mavericks have a six game home unbeaten streak (4-0-2). North Dakota is 5-0-1 in the last six games played at Mankato. UND senior netminder Jean-Phillippe Lamoureux has 90 career starts for North Dakota, and is tied with Scott Brower (1984-88) for fourth all-time among Sioux goaltenders. North Dakota forwards T.J. Oshie and Ryan Duncan are the top two active career point leaders in the WCHA. Oshie leads the way with 117 points in 107 career games, and Duncan is second with 115 points in 110 games. No other active WCHA player has more than 100 career points.

The Prediction
UND has the advantage in every category and every area of the ice. The only thing weighing against a North Dakota sweep is that Mankato has been playing well at home and the Sioux have not won a Friday road game. I think UND takes a small step in the right direction, and gains three points on the weekend. 2-2 tie, UND 3-0.

Thank you for reading. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions.

2007-08 WCHA Midseason Report

The first half of the WCHA season has been wild and unpredictable. It is remarkable to me that:

1) Only three teams (Colorado College, Denver, and North Dakota) have winning records in the conference.
2) Those same three teams are the only three WCHA schools to score more goals than they’ve allowed in conference play.
3) If the season ended today, Minnesota and Wisconsin would both be on the road for the first round of the conference playoffs.

Denver and Minnesota-Duluth are at the top of my list of midseason surprises, as I predicted them to finish 7th and 9th in the league, respectively. Minnesota gets my vote for the biggest disappointment, as I expected them to challenge for the league title and they may very well be on the road for the opening round of the WCHA playoffs.

Here’s a midseason capsule for each conference team. (Preseason predictions are mine, and a full season preview article can be found here.)

#1 Colorado College Tigers (Preseason #4)
WCHA record: 15-3-0
Conference statistics: 3.44 goals scored/game (1st), 1.67 goals allowed/game (1st)
Home series remaining: St. Cloud State, MSU-Mankato, Denver (one game)
Road series remaining: Michigan Tech, Minnesota-Duluth, Denver (one game)
Key players: Junior F Chad Rau (17-11-28), Sophomore F Bill Sweatt (5-10-15), Senior F Jimmy Kilpatrick (11-10-21), Senior F Scott McCulloch (5-6-11), Senior D Jack Hillen (3-12-15)

Midseason report: The question about whether junior goaltender Drew O’Connell would be good enough has been answered. The answer is freshman Richard Bachman. Bachman has stolen the top spot in net, playing in 18 of 22 games and posting a record of 15-3-0 to go along with a 1.61 goals against average, a save percentage of .940, and two shutouts.

#2 University of Denver Pioneers (Preseason #7)
WCHA record: 12-4-0
Conference statistics: 3.13 goals scored/game (3rd), 2.19 goals allowed/game (2nd)
Home series remaining: Minnesota, Alaska-Anchorage, Colorado College (one game)
Road series remaining: MSU-Mankato, North Dakota, Michigan Tech, Colorado College (one game)
Key players: Sophomore F Tyler Ruegsegger (10-10-20), Sophomore F Rhett Rakhshani (7-8-15), Sophomore F Brock Trotter (12-17-29), Junior D Chris Butler (1-10-11), Senior G Peter Mannino (17-5-0, 1.96 GAA, .927 SV, 4 SO)

Midseason report: Denver’s super sophs are averaging over one point per game, and freshman Tyler Bozak’s ability to provide offensive punch (10-11-21) has been a pleasant surprise. Mannino has proven more than capable of handling the goaltending duties after splitting time last year. A home and home series against Colorado College on the last week of the regular season may well decide the conference race.

#3 University of North Dakota Fighting Sioux (Preseason #1)
WCHA record: 9-7-0
Conference statistics: 3.31 goals scored/game (2nd), 2.25 goals allowed/game (3rd)
Home series remaining: Alaska-Anchorage, Denver, St. Cloud State
Road series remaining: MSU-Mankato, Minnesota, Minnesota-Duluth
Key players: Junior F Ryan Duncan (9-13-22), Junior F T.J. Oshie (10-10-20), Senior D Robbie Bina (1-17-18), Junior D Taylor Chorney (2-14-16), Senior G Phillippe Lamoureux (12-8-1, 1.86 GAA, .929 SV, 4 SO)

Midseason report: Lamoureux has been outstanding. North Dakota has not yet found the right linemate for Oshie and Duncan, although they are getting more scoring from other lines. As in recent seasons, a disappointing first half has all but dashed any hopes of hoisting the MacNaughton Cup.

#4 University of Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs (Preseason #9)
WCHA record: 6-6-4
Conference statistics: 2.50 goals scored/game (5th), 2.81 goals allowed/game (4th)
Home series remaining: Minnesota, Colorado College, North Dakota
Road series remaining: Wisconsin, Michigan Tech, Minnesota
Key returning players: Junior F Nick Kemp (7-6-13), Junior F MacGregor Sharp (5-7-12), Junior F Michael Gergen (5-5-10), Junior D Josh Meyers (5-8-13), Sophomore G Alex Stalock (8-7-5, 2.43 GAA, .909 SV, 2 SO)

Midseason report: The losses of Raymond and Niskanen were brutal, but Sandelin’s squad has found balanced scoring, as eight Bulldogs have scored four or more goals. Stalock has been good enough between the pipes to keep Duluth in contention for a top-five finish and home ice for the playoffs.

#5 Saint Cloud State University Huskies (Preseason #5)
WCHA record: 6-8-2
Conference statistics: 2.94 goals scored/game (4th), 2.94 goals allowed/game (7th)
Home series remaining: MSU-Mankato (one game), Michigan Tech, Wisconsin
Road series remaining: MSU-Mankato (one game), Colorado College, Alaska-Anchorage, North Dakota
Key players: Sophomore F Ryan Lasch (17-17-34), Sophomore F Andreas Nodl (11-17-28), Freshman F Garrett Roe (15-17-32), Senior F Nate Dey (9-7-16), Senior D Aaron Brocklehurst (2-11-13)

Midseason report: Despite a difficult second-half schedule, this team will contend for home ice and an NCAA berth. The Huskies suffered six straight losses before Christmas, including five by one goal, but appear to have righted the ship with solid weekends against North Dakota and Minnesota. Garrett Roe is the front-runner for league rookie of the year.

#6 Michigan Tech University Huskies (Preseason #6)
WCHA record: 5-8-1
Conference statistics: 2.07 goals scored/game (9th), 2.93 goals allowed/game (6th)
Home series remaining: Colorado College, Wisconsin, Minnesota-Duluth, Denver
Road series remaining: Alaska-Anchorage, St. Cloud State, MSU-Mankato
Key players: Senior F Peter Rouleau (8-8-16), Senior F Tyler Shelast (11-5-16), Senior F Jimmy Kerr (7-4-11), Junior D Geoff Kinrade (1-10-11), Junior G Michael-Lee Teslak (4-4-2, 1.72 GAA, .934 SV, 1 SO), Junior G Rob Nolan (5-7-0, 2.75 GAA, .892 SV)

Midseason report: The Huskies started out 4-1-0 in the conference before hitting a 2-5-1 stretch before the holiday break. The injury to Teslak has forced Nolan to the forefront, and Michigan Tech will struggle until they get Teslak back.

#6 University of Minnesota Golden Gophers (Preseason #2)
WCHA record: 5-8-1
Conference statistics: 2.43 goals scored/game (6th), 3.00 goals allowed/game (8th)
Home series remaining: North Dakota, Wisconsin, Minnesota-Duluth
Road series remaining: Minnesota-Duluth, Wisconsin, Denver, Alaska-Anchorage
Key players: Sophomore F Jay Barriball (3-11-14), Senior F Ben Gordon (7-12-19), Junior F Blake Wheeler (12-10-22), Senior D Derek Peltier (1-9-10)

Midseason report: The Gophers were already struggling to find offense before Kyle Okposo (7-4-11) bolted for the pros after 18 games. Goaltending has been suspect, and Minnesota might find itself on the road for the first round of the playoffs.

#6 University of Wisconsin Badgers (Preseason #3)
WCHA record: 5-8-1
Conference statistics: 2.43 goals scored/game (6th), 3.43 goals allowed/game (9th)
Home series remaining: Minnesota, Minnesota-Duluth, MSU-Mankato
Road series remaining: Alaska-Anchorage, Michigan Tech, Minnesota, St. Cloud State
Key players: Junior F Ben Street (9-12-21), Freshman F Kyle Turris (9-13-22), Sophomore D Jamie McBain (2-8-10), Senior D Kyle Klubertanz (4-9-13), Junior G Shane Connelly (8-10-1, 2.63 GAA, .910 SV, 1 SO)

Midseason report: The Badgers have found some scoring after finishing last in the league in goal production last year. The problem has been defense and goaltending. Only Alaska-Anchorage (3.57 goals allowed/game) has been worse than Wisconsin.

#9 Minnesota State University-Mankato Mavericks (Preseason #8)
WCHA record: 3-7-4
Conference statistics: 1.79 goals scored/game (10th), 2.86 goals allowed/game (5th)
Home series remaining: North Dakota, St. Cloud State (one game), Denver, Alaska-Anchorage, Michigan Tech
Road series remaining: St. Cloud State (one game), Wisconsin, Colorado College
Key players: Sophomore F Trevor Breuss (5-11-16), Senior F Joel Hanson (4-8-12), Junior F Mick Berge (10-2-12), Junior G Mike Zacharias (8-5-4, 1.94 GAA, .930 SV, 3 SO)

Midseason report: The Mavericks have tightened up defensively after giving up 3 or more goals 17 times (and 5 or more goals nine times) in 28 league games last year. The problem has been scoring, as only three players have more than five points in the league.

#10 University of Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves (Preseason #10)
WCHA record: 2-9-3
Conference statistics: 2.14 goals scored/game (8th), 3.57 goals allowed/game (10th)
Home series remaining: Wisconsin, Michigan Tech, St. Cloud State, Minnesota
Road series remaining: North Dakota, MSU-Mankato, Denver
Key players: Sophomore F Kevin Clark (7-10-17), Sophomore F Paul Crowder (6-10-16), Sophomore F Josh Lunden (9-7-16), Junior D Mat Robinson (2-10-12)

Midseason report: The unexpected departure of goaltender Nathan Lawson thrust senior net minder Jon Olthuis into the spotlight, and he hasn’t done enough to bail out the Seawolves, who have given up 3 or more goals in 10 of 14 WCHA games thus far.

Final Thoughts
The league race may go down to the wire, with Denver and Colorado College playing a home and home series on the final weekend of the regular season. The Final Five could see some new and unlikely participants this season, as Minnesota and Wisconsin could be on the outside looking in.

Thank you for reading. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions.

Friday Game React: UND vs. Michigan Tech

Midway through the second period, Michigan Tech and North Dakota were tied at 1-1 and Sioux defenseman Robbie Bina was headed to the penalty box, yet another in a series of UND penalties through the first 30 minutes of the hockey game.

The Sioux used a tenacious penalty kill to fire up the crowd, and shortly after the penalty expired, UND rode that momentum to goals by Joe Finley (10:53 of the second) and Matt Watkins (11:50) to take the Huskies by storm. It was all North Dakota after that, as Taylor Chorney added a third period tally and North Dakota won, 4-1.

So many positive things to note in this edition of the Game React. Evan Trupp, Darcy Zajac, Watkins, and Finley all played possibly their best games of the season, and Jean-Phillipe Lamoureux was solid yet again, allowing only an early second period goal on 15 shots.

After a first period in which shots from the point were slow to develop, UND began shooting quickly during the final forty minutes, and the result was goals from defensemen Joe Finley and Taylor Chorney and numerous other scoring chances. The assignment for the blueliners seemed to be “shoot and shoot again”, a trend I would like to see continue.

Junior forward T.J. Oshie continues to display amazing hands and all-out effort on every shift, qualities that remind me of Zach Parise during his two seasons at North Dakota.

One note about Darcy Zajac. After being held in the offensive zone early in the first period, his retaliation, which was called a two-minute minor for roughing, could have been a five minute major for cross-checking with intent to injure. I’m surprised UND escaped this exchange without a shorthanded situation.

Sophomore forward Chris VandeVelde had another strong game, and is playing like an upperclassman. He tallied two assists and won 14 of 18 faceoffs on the night. For the season, he has now tallied 7 goals and 11 assists in 20 games.

UND finished 1 for 5 on the power play tonight; MTU was 0 for 5 with the man advantage. North Dakota also continues to play well in 4 on 4 situations.

The Sioux improve to 11-8-1 (8-7-0 WCHA) on the season; the Huskies fall to 9-10-2 (5-7-1 WCHA). North Dakota is now 2-1-0 against Michigan Tech this season; UND has outscored MTU 11-4 in the three games.

North Dakota remains in third place in the WCHA, one point ahead of fourth place Minnesota-Duluth, who capped a furious comeback with an overtime winner at home against MSU-Mankato to keep pace with the Sioux.

The same two teams face off at Ralph Engelstad Arena at 7:07 on Saturday night. For more on the matchup between the two teams, click here.

I thank you for reading, and welcome your comments and suggestions. Check back after Saturday’s contest for more reaction, news, and notes.

Game Preview: UND vs. Michigan Tech

Amazingly, only two teams in the Western Collegiate Hockey Association have winning records at the halfway point of the conference season. Colorado College (13-3-0) and Denver (11-3-0) have run away with the top two spots, leaving the rest of the league at .500 or below. North Dakota (7-7-0 WCHA) and Michigan Tech (5-6-1 WCHA) are in good shape for home ice in the first round of the conference playoffs, despite their average league records.

UND is in good shape for a stretch run, as the toughest part of their schedule seems to be behind them. With seven conference weekends remaining, the Sioux will host Michigan Tech, Alaska-Anchorage, Denver, and St. Cloud State, and travel to MSU-Mankato, Minnesota, and Minnesota-Duluth. It is my prediction that North Dakota will still be in third place at the end of the regular season, hosting a first-round playoff series, advancing to the WCHA Final Five, and avoiding the dreaded Thursday play-in game.

That stretch run begins now. UND can strengthen its position with strong showings this weekend and against Mankato and Anchorage. Five wins in those six contests isn’t out of the questions, and would give the Sioux much-needed momentum heading down to Mariucci to take on the Golden Gophers in early February.

For Michigan Tech, early-season success has given way to inconsistency. An injury has kept the Huskies’ top goaltender, junior Michael-Lee Teslak (4-4-2, 1.72 GAA, .934 SV), out of action for the past five games. It is unknown whether he will make a start this weekend. If he cannot go, junior netminder Rob Nolan (5-5-0, 2.50 GAA, .903 SV) will handle the duties between the pipes.

Michigan Tech Team Profile
National Rankings: #18/-
Head Coach: Jamie Russell (5th season at MTU, 50-101-22, .353)
This Season: 9-9-2 Overall, 5-6-1 WCHA (t-5th)
Specialty Teams: Power Play 17.3% (17 of 98), Penalty Kill 89.1% (82 of 92)
Last Season: 18-17-5, 11-12-5 WCHA (6th)
Key Players: Senior F Peter Rouleau (7-8-15), Senior F Tyler Shelast (11-5-16), Junior D Geoff Kinrade (1-10-11), Junior G Michael-Lee Teslak (4-4-2, 1.72 GAA, .934 SV)

North Dakota Team Profile
National Rankings: #8/#10
Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (4th season at UND, 88-53-12, .614)
This Season: 10-8-1 Overall, 7-7-0 WCHA (3rd)
Specialty Teams: Power Play 15.4% (12 of 78), Penalty Kill 88.2% (82 of 93)
Last Season: 24-14-5 (Frozen Four semifinalist), 13-10-5 WCHA (3rd)
Key Players: Junior F Ryan Duncan (9-11-20), Junior F T.J. Oshie (10-8-18), Sophomore F Chris VandeVelde (7-9-16), Senior D Robbie Bina (1-16-17), Junior D Taylor Chorney (0-12-12), Senior G Jean-Philippe Lamoureux (10-8-1, 1.95 GAA, .929 SV)

By The Numbers
Last Meeting: October 27, 2007. UND defeats the Huskies 6-0 to gain a split of the weekend series in Houghton. Michigan Tech won the opener, 3-1 (ENG).
Last Meeting in Grand Forks: December 15-16, 2006. Michigan Tech sweeps the series in Grand Forks, 3-1 and 3-2, for its first sweep over North Dakota in 14 years.
All-time: UND leads the all-time series, 129-88-8 (.591). The teams first met in 1948.

Game News and Notes
UND has won at least one game on 19 consecutive regular season weekends, tops among WCHA teams. North Dakota forward Ryan Duncan was named the WCHA Offensive Player of the Week following his four point weekend at St. Cloud State. Duncan won the Hobey Baker Award last season. UND senior netminder Jean-Phillippe Lamoureux has played in 88 career games, and can tie Scott Brower (1984-88) for fourth all-time with two starts this weekend. Hockey legend Gordie Howe is scheduled to drop the ceremonial first puck prior to Friday’s game.

The Prediction
This is the weekend for a stick salute. UND brings too much depth and experience, and Teslak’s injury will hurt the Huskies. The Sioux will not let these points slip away. UND 3-2, 5-1.

Thank you for reading. I welcome your questions and comments. Click here for reaction to Friday’s game. Check back after Saturday’s contest for more reaction, news, and commentary.

Game Preview: UND vs. St. Cloud State

As I mentioned in my article about the Challenge Cup, the rivalry between these two schools has picked up since the WCHA made North Dakota and St. Cloud State schedule partners five seasons ago.

And on a personal note, this weekend will mark my tenth visit to the National Hockey Center to watch these two teams take the ice.

There are a couple of keys for this weekend’s games. UND comes in as the second-most penalized team in the country (19.3 penalty minutes/game), while SCSU is the least-penalized team in all of college hockey (9.3 penalty minutes/game). Further complicating matters for North Dakota is that the Huskies are converting almost 23% of their power play opportunities, while the Fighting Sioux are struggling at just over 15%.

Or put more simply, SCSU has scored over 40% of its goals with the man advantage; UND, only 20%.

UND will also feel the loss of junior forward T.J. Oshie, who will serve a one-game suspension for a violation of team rules and will not play Friday night. Oshie is tied for the team lead in points, and his energy and hard-nosed play will be missed in the opener.

The two teams will meet again in Grand Forks on March 7-8 (the final weekend of the regular season) with the UND/SCSU Challenge Cup on the line.

St. Cloud State Team Profile
National Rankings: #15/-
Head Coach: Bob Motzko (3rd season at SCSU, 53-36-13, .583)
This Season: 9-9-2 Overall, 4-7-1 WCHA (t-7th)
Special Teams: Power Play 22.8% (26 of 114), Penalty Kill 86.7% (65 of 75)
Last Season: 22-11-7 Overall (NCAA East Regional Semifinalist), 14-7-7 WCHA (2nd)
Key Players: Sophomore F Ryan Lasch (15-15-30), Freshman F Garrett Roe (11-16-27), Sophomore F Andreas Nodl (10-13-23), Senior F Nate Dey (8-5-13), Senior D Aaron Brocklehurst (2-10-12), Sophomore G Jase Weslosky (7-8-0, 2.16 GAA, .928 SV, 1 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile
National Rankings: #8/#7
Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (4th season at UND, 87-52-12, .616)
This Season: 9-7-1 Overall, 7-7-0 WCHA (4th)
Specialty Teams: Power Play 15.1% (11 of 73), Penalty Kill 87.5% (70 of 80)
Last Season: 24-14-5 (Frozen Four Semifinalist), 13-10-5 WCHA (3rd)
Key Players: Junior F Ryan Duncan (7-9-16), Junior F T.J. Oshie (9-7-16), Sophomore F Chris VandeVelde (6-7-13), Senior D Robbie Bina (1-15-16), Junior D Taylor Chorney (0-12-12), Senior G Jean-Philippe Lamoureux (9-7-1, 1.88 GAA, .932 SV, 4 SO)

By The Numbers
Last Meeting: March 16, 2007 (St. Paul, Minnesota). UND defeats SCSU 6-2 in the WCHA Final Five semifinals. Chris Porter plays in his 171st consecutive game to tie the all-time WCHA record. Porter would set the record in the championship game the following night.
Last Meeting in St. Cloud: March 3, 2007. UND takes the series finale 7-2 after the teams skate to a 3-3 tie in the opener.
All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series, 46-25-8 (.633), and holds a record of 18-13-5 (.569) in games played in St. Cloud.

Game News and Notes
UND goaltender Jean-Philippe Lamoureux has now started 42 consecutive games between the pipes, breaking the previous school record of 40 held by Al Finkelstein (1951-53). Lamoureux’s streak is the second-longest streak in WCHA history, trailing only Brant Nicklin, who started 76 consecutive games for the Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs from 1996-98. St. Cloud State boasts two of the top five scorers in the country in sophomore Ryan Lasch (#2, 15-15-30) and freshman Garrett Roe (#5, 11-16-27, tops among rookies). By comparison, UND’s top scorers T.J. Oshie, Robbie Bina, and Ryan Duncan (16 points each) are tied for 70th among national scoring leaders. North Dakota has not lost to St. Cloud in the last six meetings between the two teams, going 4-0-2 in that span. The Fighting Sioux are definitely not a comeback team. The last time North Dakota won a game after trailing through two periods was almost three seasons ago. Since then, UND has gone 0-24-0 when facing a deficit after forty minutes.

The Prediction
I’m not sure when the Sioux will stop doing the splits, but it won’t be this weekend. With T.J. Oshie out of the lineup on Friday night, North Dakota will be happy to take two points from the weekend series. SCSU 4-2, UND 3-2.

Thank you for reading. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions. Check back after the games for reaction and commentary.

The UND/SCSU Challenge Cup

Beginning with the 2002-03 season, the WCHA changed its scheduling system, creating “rivals” which would play each other four times each season (and play the other schools twice one season, four times the next, and so on). Minnesota and Wisconsin were paired up, as were Colorado College and Denver. All four of those schools, and particularly Minnesota and Wisconsin, would have made excellent schedule partners for UND.

And which of the remaining teams would become North Dakota’s schedule partner? Alaska-Anchorage? Mankato? No, as the two newest members of the WCHA (1993 and 1999, respectively), the Seawolves and Mavericks were paired with each other. How about Minnesota-Duluth or Michigan Tech, schools which had been members of the conference for over 35 years? No again. Those two schools are just over 200 miles apart, and that was certainly a factor in the decision.

That left St. Cloud State, a familiar foe for Sioux fans from North Central Conference football and basketball games. The St. Cloud State Huskies had been a Division I hockey program for 15 years (and a WCHA member for 12) before the 2002-03 season, and had posted a 83-34-6 (.699) record over the previous three seasons. By contrast, from 1999-02, UND held a record of 76-35-16 (.654).

The two schools had played a handful of meaningful games in the past. In 1991 (St. Cloud’s first in the league), the Huskies and Sioux met in Grand Forks for the first round of the WCHA playoffs. St. Cloud took the opener, 4-2, before falling 10-2 and 7-4 in games 2 and 3. The two teams met in the 1998 and 2000 WCHA Final Five semifinal games, with North Dakota prevailing in both contests. Perhaps the best reason to be optimistic about the rivalry was the 2001 WCHA Final Five championship game, a hard-fought contest which St. Cloud State won on Derek Eastman’s overtime winner.

It’s fair to say that in 2002 there was confusion AND cautious optimism surrounding the potential rivalry between the two teams. (And on a personal note, I had already traveled to St. Cloud for the Sioux/Husky games four times before the rivalry announcement was made, and I was more than pleased that I would now be able to make this trip every year.)

It’s also fair to say that the rivalry has caught on over the past five seasons. The two teams have played eight overtime contests in their 24 regular-season meetings, and points are tough to come by, at home and on the road. The fans have also made their mark on the partnership between the schools, as the UND/SCSU rivalry now has a commemorative fan trophy, thanks to the Center Ice Club at St. Cloud State University:

Challenge Cup

The UND/SCSU Challenge Cup is awarded to the team which collects more points in the four regular-season games. As you may be able to see in the photo above, the winning team is engraved for each year. UND won the Challenge Cup in 2005, going 3-0-1 against the Huskies. St. Cloud took the trophy back in 2006, sporting a record of 3-1-0 against North Dakota. In 2007, the Sioux won two games and tied the other two, collecting six points and the Challenge Cup. And last season, the teams shared the cup, with UND and SCSU each winning one game and tying the other two.

We will be bringing the Challenge Cup to the pre-game social at Southgate Grill and Bar in Grand Forks on Saturday, December 13th. Stop by between 3:00 and 6:00 for a look at the trophy and a chance to meet fans on both sides of this hockey rivalry.

Check back for a preview of this weekend’s games. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions.

Friday Game React: UND vs. New Hampshire

After two periods, North Dakota senior goaltender Jean-Philippe Lamoureux had set the all-time school record for consecutive starts (41) and UND held a 1-0 lead over the New Hampshire Wildcats. At 5:49 of the third period, Jerry Pollastrone beat Lamoureux glove-side, spoiling the Sioux netminder’s bid for a fifth shutout.

The following minute was the key to the hockey game. 27 seconds after Pollastrone’s tally, Sioux freshman forward Evan Trupp knocked in a rebound of Matt Frattin’s breakaway attempt. Just 41 seconds after UND took the lead, Ryan Martens gave the Sioux a two-goal cushion, stealing all of the momentum away from the Wildcats.

Lamoureux finished with 29 saves on 30 shots, lowering his goals-against average to 1.68 (second in the nation). Remarkably, through the first sixteen games of the season, he has allowed two goals or fewer eleven times.

The key line for UND was Darcy Zajac centering Ryan Martens and Kyle Radke. Zajac scored the first Sioux goal, and Martens (1 goal, 1 assist) and Radke (2 assists) led North Dakota with two points each . The three had not played together since a March game at St. Cloud, when they notched three goals and two assists in a 7-2 Sioux victory.

There was energy up and down the North Dakota lineup. Kaip was effective on the top line with Oshie and Duncan, and I liked Bina and Chorney paired on defense.

The one area of concern was the UND power play. North Dakota went 0 for 6 with the man advantage and has not scored on its last 15 chances. A unit that was clicking at over 18% through the first two months is now hovering around 14% (10 of 70). New Hampshire had an effective penalty kill that generated momentum for the Wildcats.

UND (9-6-1) saw a nice bounce in the pairwise rankings after the win, and is now sitting in sixth. New Hampshire (9-5-1) is seventh. The two teams take the ice tonight for the second game of the series.

Thanks for reading. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions. Check back after Saturday’s game for more reaction and commentary. For more on the matchup between the teams, click here.

Game Preview: UND vs. New Hampshire

As I wrote here, the playoffs create rivalries. And because the Fighting Sioux and the Wildcats have never met in the playoffs, it comes as no surprise that no rivalry exists. Despite a combined 20 NCAA tournament appearances in the past 11 seasons, North Dakota and New Hampshire have managed to avoid each other on the national stage. In fact, since the schools began playing each other in 1971, they have only met 13 times.

Perhaps the most meaningful connection between the schools is that Rube Bjorkman was the head coach at New Hampshire for four seasons (1964-68) before becoming UND’s head coach for the 1968-69 season. Bjorkman, who posted only two winning seasons and no tournament appearances in his ten seasons behind the North Dakota bench, struggled to a 17-26 record in his first two seasons with the Wildcats before winning 40 of 54 games from 1966-68.

Both schools are looking to start the second half on a winning note, and this weekend’s results will certainly be important come tournament time.

New Hampshire Team Profile
National Rankings: #10/#9
Head Coach: (Dick Umile, 18th season at New Hampshire, 408-201-64, .654)
This Season: 9-4-1 Overall, 6-4-1 Hockey East
Special Teams: Power Play 13.3% (10 of 75), Penalty Kill 84.6% (66 of 78)
Last Season: 26-11-2 Overall (NCAA Northeast Regional Semifinalist), 18-7-2 Hockey East (1st)
Key Players: Senior F Matt Fornataro (6-11-17), Freshman F James vanRiemsdyk (6-9-15), Senior F Mike Radja (8-4-12), Junior F Jerry Pollastrone (4-6-10), Senior D Brad Flaishans (4-8-12), Senior G Kevin Regan (7-3-0, 2.21 GAA, .922 SV, 1 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile
National Rankings: #7/#7
Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (4th season at UND, 86-51-12, .617)
This Season: 8-6-1 Overall, 6-6-0 WCHA
Specialty Teams: Power Play 15.6% (10 of 64), Penalty Kill 88.9% (64 of 72)
Last Season: 24-14-5 (Frozen Four Semifinalist), 13-10-5 WCHA (3rd)
Key Players: Junior F Ryan Duncan (6-9-15), Junior F T.J. Oshie (8-7-15), Sophomore F Chris VandeVelde (6-6-12), Senior D Robbie Bina (0-13-13), Junior D Taylor Chorney (0-12-12), Senior G Jean-Philippe Lamoureux (8-6-1, 1.72 GAA, .936 SV, 4 SO)

By The Numbers
Last Meeting: October 22, 2005 (Durham, New Hampshire). The Sioux and Wildcats skate to a 3-3 tie on Saturday night after North Dakota takes the opener, 3-2.
Last Meeting in Grand Forks: January 6, 1989. UND downs New Hampshire 8-2 in a single game at the old Ralph Engelstad Arena.
All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series with 9 wins against 2 losses and 2 ties. North Dakota has never lost against New Hampshire in Grand Forks, winning all four home contests.

Game News and Notes
UND goaltender Jean-Philippe Lamoureux has now started 40 consecutive games betwen the pipes, and shares the school record with Al Finkelstein (1951-53). Lamoureux’s streak is the second-longest streak in WCHA history, trailing only Brant Nicklin, who started 76 consecutive games for the Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs from 1996-98. New Hampshire freshman forward James vanRiemsdyk is second on the team in scoring with 15 points (6g, 9a) but will not play in this weekend’s series, as he is currently playing for the United States national junior team at the World Junior Championships. New Hampshire has made the NCAA tournament 13 times in the past 16 seasons under head coach Dick Umile, and has four Frozen Four appearances and two runner-up finishes in that span.

The Prediction
I would love to predict a Sioux sweep to begin the patented “Hakstol second half surge”, but another split seems likely, particularily if Lamoureux rests Saturday after setting the school record for consecutive starts on Friday night. UND 3-2, UNH 4-2.

Thank you for reading. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions. Check back after the games for reaction and commentary.

Does anyone own PAIRWISE?

Owning a college sports web site doesn’t usually bring with it much intrigue or drama, though having a blog does allow me to share interesting stories about the online college hockey world with you when they do occur.

Does USCHO exclusively own the term “PAIRWISE”, as it relates to college hockey rankings? For now the answer appears to be no, though USCHO has been trying to change that. I first became aware of this effort when USCHO added a small “SM” to their “Pairwise” tables on their site last spring. I dashed off to the United States Patent and Trademark Office to investigate, which you may also want to do so you can follow along:
USCHO’s claim to Pairwise

Mar. 20, 2006

USCHO’s initial application for trademark for “PAIRWISE”

Apr. 17, 2006

The next action in the file, described as “Paper Correspondence Incoming”, came from a bunch of names you might recognize as formerly associated with USCHO: Mike Machnik (founder of HOCKEY-L, now affiliated with CollegeHockeyNews), Adam Wodon (founder of CollegeHockeyNews), John Whelan (developer of some pretty neat hockey ranking analysis tools, wrote USCHO’s Pairwise analysis tools, now with CollegeHockeyNews) and Keith Instone (long-time HOCKEY-L ranking guru, first devised the pairwise technique to mimic the selection process). Their letter raised quite a few objections to USCHO’s application, including the following:

  • Pairwise is a generic mathematical term that describes how the comparison is performed
  • The algorithm, in relation to college hockey, was developed by Keith Instone before USCHO existed
  • USCHO doesn’t use the term “pairwise” in commerce, as they claimed
  • The sample of “advertising” submitted by USCHO was not, indeed, advertising, but a page of hockey rankings
  • Lots of other sites cover college hockey and publish pairwise rankings of teams

Compelling stuff, particularly the first, which is why I was surprised to see the next document…

Sep. 11, 2006 Office Action Outgoing

No mention of the Apr. 17 “Paper Correspondence Incoming”. Notes were pretty much limited to the following:

Office records have been search and no similar registered and pending mark has been found that would bar registration

The wording used to describe the services needs clarification because it is unacceptable as indefinite. Applicant may adopt the following identification of services, if accurate: Providing information in the field of rankings of college hockey teams; and publication of books featuring rankings of college hockey teams.

Though there seemed to be some confusion between the two parties about wording (is USCHO a book or a web site? is PAIRWISE a marketing slogan or the name of a database?), it seemed like USCHO just needed to adopt the suggested description. I start getting ready to scrub the word “pairwise” from SiouxSports.com and come up with the SiouxSports.com Power (PWR) rankings (which is what everyone thinks PWR stands for, anyway).

Nov. 22, 2006 Response to Office Action

USCHO seems pleased with the change in wording, though did want to note that they publish a website, not books.

Jan. 25, 2007 Office Action Outgoing

Pointing out that USCHO is a web site, not a book, seemed to have compelled the USPTO to search the web, because it came back now denying the claim:

Registration is refused because the proposed mark merely describes a characteristic and feature of applicant’s goods and services

The proposed mark appears to be generic in connection with the identified services

According to the Internet evidence, a ‘pairwise comparison’ is a problem solving method that allows one to determine the relative order (ranking) of a group of items

The mark… is a commonly used term for ranking college hockey teams

Evidence for the denial included a mountain of captured web pages (what did trademark examiners do 10 years ago?)

Page 1 — The first few pages are from Wikipedia. Really? It was my understanding that students aren’t allowed to cite wikipedia in fifth grade reports, yet the PTO uses it? Ok, let’s see what else they have…

Page 9 — Wiktionary?!? Seriously, will someone buy the PTO a subscription to the OED? I think m-w.com is free.

Page 10 — Mathworld, that sounds like an amusement park where I could imagine running into Whelan.

Page 12-16 — SiouxSports.com. w00t. I’m particularly impressed that he grabbed our awesome individual team detailed pairwise comparisons table, which I still think is the best on the net.

Jul. 25, 2007 Response to Office Action

Obviously, PAIRWISE is not descriptive of a ranking

Eh?

Even if the word “Pairwise” has become descriptive of a general process by which items are ordered and ranked by comparing each item to another, the fact that such a process is employed in a specific sport application in which the source of the ranking chooses and assigns weights to selected criteria makes it clear that the word is, at best, suggestive of what makes PAIRWISE rankings better than its competition.

Ok, I think I’m getting it. USCHO is trying to lay claim to PAIRWISE in all caps, differentiated from pairwise, the descriptive term. Huh.

From Tim Brule’s letter:

The success of our PAIRWISE rankings help establish uscho.com as a definitive source of information about college hockey and consequently increases the traffic to our site. Obviously it is economically benefical to us to have high traffic rankings.

Ah, is this about search results? Let’s google “pairwise hockey“:
USCHO.com::U.S. College Hockey Online::Pairwise
USCHO.com::U.S. College Hockey Online::Pairwise Surprise
College Hockey News: NCAA Tournament Pairwise Comparison Ratings
College Hockey News: Pairwise and KRACH
SiouxSports.com: NCAA College Hockey PWR (Pairwise Rankings)

Is USCHO’s new desire to trademark PAIRWISE because CollegeHockeyNews is gaining ground as a source of that information? It hardly seems a coincidence that this occurred so soon after the CHN guys split off.

Sep. 5, 2007 Office Action Outgoing

The examining attorney has also considered the applicant’s arguments carefully but has found them unpersuasive.

The applicant has responded to the refusal by stating that the proposed mark is not descriptive of the applicant’s services. The examining attorney disagrees

The term “PAIRWISE” as used in the mark merely indicates that the pairwise method was used to generate the college hockey team rankings.

Let’s take a look at PTO’s new evidence (much of it from the same source as the previous):
Page 4-6: Is PTO really using a page from USCHO’s site to try to demonstrate that Pairwise is a generic description. I don’t get this one.

Page 7-10: CollegeHockeyNews’s PWR

Page 11-12: SiouxSports.com’s PWR

Page 18-21, 27-30: Brad’s blog chats about USCHO’s PWR

I think those last three sets of evidence are flawed, for reasons I’ll describe in the next section.

What does Jim make of all of this?

Keep in mind that USCHO wasn’t trying to protect the mathematical formula behind PWR (which by my understanding could have proven difficult), but rather the name “PAIRWISE” when used to describe their rankings using that formula.

Though the formula isn’t their invention, but rather mimics the NCAA Selection Criteria, trademarking their own unique name of their presentation of those rankings strikes me as plausible. Searching the HOCKEY-L archives** may give you fascinating look at the origin of all of this stuff; the first reference I could find to the criteria came from Keith Instone, but the first reference I could find to PAIRWISE or PWR was from Tim Brule (of USCHO).

As to the numerous examples from the Internet of sites using PWR/Pairwise to describe the college hockey rankings, though there was no way for the examiner to know it, the term is likely in use in all of those places specifically because USCHO popularized it. I have no idea if allowing it become part of the college hockey lexicon for 10 years before attempting to trademark it harmed their case, but I can say on behalf of SiouxSports.com that our PWR rankings are called PWR specifically so people are aware that they use the same methodology as those USCHO calls PAIRWISE (PWR’s very purpose on SiouxSports.com is to assist people who want to analyze and predict the PAIRWISE rankings by providing detail of the calculations beyond that available from USCHO).

However, that is all likely irrelevant, as the nail in the coffin of USCHO’s claim seemed to be that pairwise is a generic term descriptive of the ranking methodology. Though the first reference I can find to that name did come from Tim Brule on HOCKEY-L, it also predated the creation of USCHO, so it’s not surprising that the rankings were given a descriptive name rather than one chosen with attention to trademark suitability. If only he had chosen Tim’s Rankings for American College Hockey (TRACH).

Final thought — it’s almost impossible to run sites like these without a good IP attorney. Thanks to John (ours).

** While browsing the HOCKEY-L archives, you may stumble upon the Nov 29, 1995, announcement of SiouxSports.com, which wasn’t yet called SiouxSports.com, but is a pleasant reminder of our longevity.