Other than the AHA champ, Cornell is the only possible non-top 16 autobid , so #14 in PWR will make it. #15 will if Cornell loses.
In the NCAA tournament: Yale, UND, BC, Michigan, Miami, Denver, Minnesota-Duluth, Merrimack, Union, Notre Dame, New Hampshire, Western Michigan
In if Cornell loses: Nebraska-Omaha, CC, RPI
In if Cornell wins: Cornell and two of those three (UNO, CC, RPI)
In: Autobid goes to Winner of Air Force/RIT
Out: Maine, Dartmouth, BU
A little more on UNO vs. CC vs. RPI (remember, which only matters if Cornell beats Yale, otherwise all three are in) —
Dartmouth beats or ties Colgate, Michigan or Notre Dame wins — RPI is out
Dartmouth beats or ties Colgate, Notre Dame ties Michigan, Miami beats Western Michigan — RPI is out
Dartmouth beats or ties Colgate, Notre Dame ties Michigan, Western Michigan beats Miami — UNO is out
Colgate beats Dartmouth, Michigan beats Notre Dame — CC is out
Colgate beats Dartmouth, Notre Dame beats Michigan, Western Michigan beats Miami — UNO is out
Colgate beats Dartmouth, Notre Dame beats Michigan, Miami beats Western Michigan –- RPI is out
Colgate beats Dartmouth, Michigan ties Notre Dame, Miami beats Western Michigan — CC is out
Colgate beats Dartmouth, Michigan ties Notre Dame, Western Michigan beats Miami — UNO is out
| Team | PWR Possibilitieis | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Win none | Win all | |
| Yale | 1 100% | 1 100% | 1 100% |
| UND | 2 75% 3 25% |
2 50% 3 50% |
2 100% |
| Boston College | 2 25% 3 75% |
3 100% | 2 50% 3 50% |
| Michigan | 4 6% 5 16% 6 11% 7 23% 8 44% |
7 21% 8 79% |
4 13% 5 37% 6 25% 7 25% |
| Miami | 4 57% 5 20% 6 18% 7 5% |
4 14% 5 40% 6 36% 7 11% |
4 100% |
| Denver | 4 13% 5 39% 6 26% 7 22% |
5 28% 6 28% 7 44% |
4 25% 5 50% 6 25% |
| UMD | 9 56% 10 44% |
n/a | n/a |
| Merrimack | 4 25% 5 25% 6 45% 7 5% |
6 89% 7 11% |
4 50% 5 50% |
| Union | 7 44% 8 56% |
n/a | n/a |
| Notre Dame | 9 44% 10 6% 11 50% |
10 10% 11 90% |
9 100% |
| New Hampshire | 12 63% 13 27% 14 10% |
n/a | n/a |
| Western Michigan | 10 50% 11 50% |
10 44% 11 56% |
10 56% 11 44% |
| Nebraska-Omaha | 12 22% 13 38% 14 24% 15 16% |
n/a | n/a |
| CC | 13 25% 14 53% 15 22% |
n/a | n/a |
| Dartmouth | 16 44% 17 4% 18 8% 19 44% |
17 8% 18 14% 19 78% |
16 100% |
| Rensselaer | 12 15% 13 10% 14 13% 15 63% |
n/a | n/a |
| Boston University | 16 56% 17 44% |
n/a | n/a |
| Maine | 17 52% 18 48% |
n/a | n/a |
| AA | 20 50% 21 50% |
n/a | n/a |
looks good for UND
Jim,
Hypothetical for you:
If the WCHA still had the 3rd place game, and BSU had beaten CC, would that have bumped the Tigers from the field? Thanks so much!
Whelan’s DIY Rankings tool is great for that sort of question.
http://www.fly.net/~whelan/tbrw/2011/rankings.diy.shtml
Asking it to calculate PWR and adding a single game to the real results:
20110319 BS 1 CC 0 nc
Looks like CC still would have been in the 3-way tie for #13 and made the tournament.