Game Preview: UND vs. Minnesota-Duluth

Last season almost ended with a glass slipper for the Bulldogs. Duluth went on the road in the first round of the WCHA playoffs and swept Colorado College before running the table at the WCHA Final Five, becoming the first team to win three games at the league’s post-season tournament. After defeating Princeton 5-4 in overtime (thanks to two goals in the final 40 seconds of regulation), the Bulldogs fell 2-1 to national runner-up Miami.

This season, UMD has not been swept in a weekend series and has won three conference games in a row (vs. Michigan Tech and a road sweep at Minnesota). North Dakota had to settle for a 5-5- tie with #1 Miami last weekend after defeating Ohio State in the tournament opener.

Minnesota-Duluth Team Profile

Head Coach: Scott Sandelin (10th season at UMD, 153-177-46, .468)
This Season:  9-4-1 Overall, 6-3-1 WCHA (3rd)
National Rankings: #12/#12
PairWise Ranking: #7
Team Offense: 3.50 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 2.71 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 25.5% (24 of 94)
Penalty Kill: 78.5% (62 of 79)
Last Season: 22-13-8 Overall (NCAA West Regional Finalist), 10-11-7 WCHA
Key Players: Sophomore F Jack Connolly (10-11-21), Junior F Justin Fontaine (11-9-20), Sophomore F Mike Connolly (5-9-14), Sophomore D Brady Lamb (5-3-8), Sophomore G Brady Hjelle (6-2-1, 2.86 GAA, .909 SV%)

North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 138-75-21, .635)
National Ranking: #3/#3
PairWise Ranking: #9
This Season: 8-4-2, 5-4-1 WCHA (t-4th)
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.29 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.93 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 24.1% (20 of 83)
Penalty Kill: 88.3% (68 of 77)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (4-9-13), Freshman F Danny Kristo (5-8-13), Junior F Evan Trupp (4-9-13), Sophomore D Ben Blood (1-3-4), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (7-3-2, 1.89 GAA, .920 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers

Last Meeting: March 20, 2009 (St. Paul, MN). Duluth continued to ride goaltender Alex Stalock on its improbable Final Five run, downing the Fighting Sioux 3-0 and advancing to its first Final Five championship in team history.

Last Meeting in Duluth: November 22, 2008. After beating UND just twice in the previous 20 meetings between the schools (2-16-2), the Bulldogs defeated UND 3-1. Duluth scored a goal in each period and Alex Stalock stopped 37 of 38 North Dakota shots.

Most Important Meeting: March 22, 1984 (Lake Placid, NY) Minnesota-Duluth and North Dakota met in the national semifinal game, with the Bulldogs defeating the Fighting Sioux 2-1 in overtime to advance to the championship. UND went on to defeat Michigan State 6-5 (OT) for third place, while Duluth fell to Bowling Green 5-4 in four overtimes, the longest championship game ever played.

All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series, 125-69-8 (.639), including a 52-37-4 (.580) record in games played in Duluth.

Game News and Notes

Bulldog sophomore F Jack Connolly leads the nation in scoring with 21 points. The Fighting Sioux scored just three goals in three games against Duluth last season. North Dakota senior defenseman Chay Genoway (4 goals and 6 assists in 9 games) is still suffering from an upper body injury and is not expected to play against UMD.

The Prediction

UND should be content with a road split against an excellent team, and that’s what they’re getting. North Dakota will win a close one on Friday and the Bulldogs’ power play will click in Saturday’s finale. UND 3-2, UMD 5-2.

Bonus Prediction

I will be vacationing next week, and I will not be posting a full UND/Wisconsin preview. So here is your bonus prediction: This is not the defensive Badger squad that we’ve seen over the past few years; this year’s version is scoring almost four goals per game. North Dakota will be able to contain Bucky for much of the weekend, but the Badgers will squeeze out a point on Saturday night. UND 4-2, 4-4 tie.

Subway Holiday Classic Preview: UND vs. Miami

What a difference one minute makes.

The Miami RedHawks led Boston University 3-1 with under one minute remaining in last season’s national championship game. The Terriers roared back, scoring two extra-attacker goals in the final 60 seconds of regulation. After almost twelve excruciating minutes of overtime, Colby Cohen’s shot deflected, looped, and dropped into the net, giving BU their fifth national championship.

Miami was one minute from hanging their first NCAA championship banner.

The RedHawks appear driven to finish what was left undone last season. Miami has lost just twice this season, both by one goal. Enrico Blasi’s squad is quick, deep, and talented, and North Dakota will need their best effort of the season to knock off the RedHawks.

Miami Team Profile

Head Coach: Enrico Blasi (11th season at Miami, 219-153-37, .581)
This Season:  9-2-4 Overall, 6-1-3-1 CCHA (1st)
National Rankings: #1/#1
Team Offense: 2.87 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.80 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 16.5% (13 of 79)
Penalty Kill: 89.3% (75 of 84)
Last Season: 23-13-5 Overall (NCAA national runner-up), 17-7-4 CCHA
Key Players: Junior F Carter Camper (6-6-12), Senior F Jarod Palmer (5-8-13), Junior F Andy Miele (5-10-15), Freshman D Joe Hartman (3-3-6), Sophomore G Cody Reichard (8-1-2, 1.59 GAA, .927 SV%, 1 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 138-75-20, .635)
National Ranking: #4/#4
This Season: 8-4-1, 5-4-1 WCHA (t-4th)
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.15 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.69 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 22.4% (17 of 76)
Penalty Kill: 89.0% (65 of 73)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (4-9-13), Sophomore F David Toews (4-6-10) Junior F Evan Trupp (4-8-12), Senior D Chay Genoway (4-6-10), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (7-3-1, 1.63 GAA, .931 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers

Last Meeting: October 8, 2005 (Dayton, OH). North Dakota blanked Miami 3-0 in the opening game of the Lefty McFadden Invitational. Jordan Parise made 37 saves for the Fighting Sioux and helped UND kill all eleven RedHawk power plays.

Most Important Meeting: For the second game in a row, the most important meeting is the one about to be played. This matchup has far-reaching NCAA playoff implications.

All-time Series: North Dakota leads the all-time series 2-0-0. The teams have never played in Grand Forks.

Game News and Notes

UND is 10-5-0 all-time in the Subway Holiday Classic. North Dakota senior defenseman Chay Genoway is still out of the lineup after suffering an upper body injury against St. Cloud State. UND was 7-1-1 with Genoway in the lineup and are 1-3-0 in his absence with all three losses by one goal. Miami has already played six overtime games this season, going 1-1-4 in those games. North Dakota is 5-1-1 at home this season.

The Prediction

If the RedHawks can survive the opening period against UND, they will be tough to put away. Miami is 6-0-3 when scoring first and has outscored opponents 35-19 in the second and third periods this season. But the Ralph should be rocking on Saturday night, and the Fighting Sioux will grab an early lead and hold on in a nail-biter. UND 3-2.

Bonus Prediction

Bemidji State is for real, and will be a top-eight team in the NCAAs. Ohio State will change goaltenders, and it won’t matter. BSU 3-1.

Subway Holiday Classic Preview: UND vs. Ohio State

North Dakota and Ohio State have not met for almost 30 years, and it’s safe to say that the result will be a bit closer this time around. When the teams met for a two game non-conference series in December of 1979, UND outscored the Buckeyes 15-4 on the weekend. And in the “what might have been” category, both the Fighting Sioux and OSU participated in last season’s NCAA Northeast Regional tournament, but neither team could advance to the regional final.

Ohio State has shown early signs of life (a 4-0 shutout of Denver stands out), but is absolutely dreadful in special teams situations. In an almost identical number of power play and shorthanded situations, the Buckeyes have scored 9 goals and allowed 22. By comparison, UND has scored 16 power play goals and allowed only 8 to the opposition. OSU would certainly like to keep things five-on-five on Friday night.

North Dakota senior defenseman Chay Genoway will miss this weekend’s action. Genoway is still recovering from an upper body injury he suffered against St. Cloud State on November 13th. UND has not won a game since Genoway left the lineup.

This weekend’s Subway Holiday Classic will use four pre-determined matchups, rather than a tournament format. OSU will battle Bemidji State on Saturday afternoon, while North Dakota will face Miami of Ohio (the nation’s #1 team) on Saturday night. Check back for a preview of North Dakota and Miami later this weekend.

Ohio State Team Profile

Head Coach: John Markell (16th season at OSU, 270-257-51, .511)
This Season:  5-8-1 Overall, 4-5-1-1 CCHA (t-5th)
National Rankings: NR
Team Offense: 2.50 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 3.07 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 11.8% (9 of 76)
Penalty Kill: 71.4% (55 of 77)
Last Season: 23-15 4 Overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist , 13-11-4 CCHA
Key Players: Junior F John Albert (3-7-10), Junior F Peter Boyd (4-8-12), Sophomore F Zac Dalpe (8-8-16), Junior D Shane Sims (2-5-7), Sophomore G Cal Heeter (4-2-1, 3.05 GAA, .903 SV%, 1 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 137-75-20, .634)
National Ranking: #4/#4
This Season: 7-4-1, 5-4-1 WCHA (t-4th)
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.08 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.75 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 22.2% (16 of 72)
Penalty Kill: 88.4% (61 of 69)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (4-8-12), Sophomore F David Toews (4-6-10) Junior F Evan Trupp (4-6-10), Senior D Chay Genoway (4-6-10), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (6-3-1, 1.69 GAA, .929 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers

Last Meeting: December 21st, 1979 (Grand Forks, ND). North Dakota completed the two-game sweep of the visiting Buckeyes, 7-2. UND routed OSU 8-2 in Friday’s opener.

Most Important Meeting: Since the teams haven’t played in 30 years, I will call Friday’s opener the most important. North Dakota needs a victory after dropping three consecutive one-goal contests.

All-time Series: North Dakota leads the all-time series, 2-0.

Game News and Notes

UND is 9-5-0 all-time in the Subway Holiday Classic. Ohio State forward Hunter Bishop will celebrate a homecoming of sorts when he takes the ice against UND on Friday. Bishop played the first half of his freshman year for the Fighting Sioux. The Buckeyes rank dead last in the CCHA in both power play and penalty kill percentage. North Dakota senior defenseman Chay Genoway is still out of the lineup after suffering an upper body injury against St. Cloud State. UND was 7-1-1 with Genoway in the lineup and are 0-3-0 in his absence (3 one-goal losses).

The Prediction

North Dakota is hungry for a victory and will not be denied. The only thing in question is the final score. If OSU can play at even strength, they will keep it close. If it’s a parade to the penalty box, it’ll go down as a rout. UND 4-1.

Bonus Prediction

In the early game, Bemidji State will have the benefit of a partisan crowd, and will need to capitalize early. This one feels like a one-goal game either way, and I give the edge to the Beavers. BSU 3-2.

Weekend Preview: UND at Denver

Which Pioneers team will show up this weekend?  The squad that went into Mariucci and swept the Gophers by identical 3-0 scores, or the club that gave up nine goals in a road series at Anchorage and barely came out with a split?

Much has been made of the players who won’t or might not skate this weekend. UND’s top defenseman, senior Chay Genoway (upper body injury) will not play in this series, and DU’s top goaltender, Marc Cheverie (leg injury) and top defenseman, sophomore Patrick Wiercioch (knee), are both questionable for the weekend. Furthermore, Denver senior defenseman Cody Brookwell, the team’s biggest defenseman (6’4″, 220 lbs.) has been sick and may miss Friday’s opener. But there will be plenty of talent on the ice and plenty on the line this weekend at Magness Arena (Denver. CO).

Sophomore defenseman Corey Fienhage will need to step up in Genoway’s absence, and Denver freshman goaltender Adam Murray (2-3-1, 4.36 GAA, .838 SV%) will need to play better if Cheverie misses any more time.

And this from the Denver Post: DU is coming off a bye week and begins final exams today. Many Pioneers will miss today’s and Saturday’s pregame skates because of finals.

Denver Team Profile

Head Coach: George Gwozdecky (16th season at DU, 352-220-47, .607)
This Season:  6-3-1 Overall, 4-1-1 WCHA (t-3rd)
National Rankings: #3/#3
Team Offense: 3.10 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 3.00 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 17.5% (10 of 57)
Penalty Kill: 86.3% (44 of 51)
Last Season: 23-12-5 Overall (NCAA West Regional semifinalist), 16-8-4 WCHA (3rd)
Key Players: Senior F Rhett Rakhshani (7-5-12), Senior F Tyler Ruegsegger (5-5-10), Junior F Anthony Maiani (1-3-4), Sophomore D Patrick Wiercioch (2-7-9) Junior G Marc Cheverie (4-0-0, 1.27 GAA, .959 SV%, 3 SO)

 North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 137-73-20, .639)
National Ranking: #2/#2
This Season: 7-2-1, 5-2-1 WCHA (2nd)
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.50 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.70 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 23.7% (14 of 59)
Penalty Kill: 92.2% (47 of 51)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (3-8-11), Sophomore F David Toews (4-6-10) Junior F Evan Trupp (4-5-9), Senior D Chay Genoway (4-6-10), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (6-1-1, 1.61 GAA, .925 SV%, 1 SO)

 By The Numbers

Last Meeting: January 24, 2009 (Grand Forks, ND).  In a game remembered more for Gwozdecky’s antics on the dasher and on the ice, Denver twice came back to tie UND and the final score read 2-2.  Brad Eidsness made 38 saves to preserve one point for the Fighting Sioux.  A night earlier, North Dakota rolled, 8-3.

Last Meeting in Denver: December 1, 2007.  #8 North Dakota took game two from #3 Denver, 3-1, after falling 1-0 in the opener.  Ryan Duncan netted two goals and assisted on the third goal for the Fighting Sioux.

Most Important Meeting: It’s hard to pick just one game, as the two teams have played four times for the national title. Denver defeated UND for the national championship in 1958, 1968, and 2005, while the Sioux downed the Pioneers in 1963.

All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series, 129-110-8 (.538), while Denver holds a 64-49-3 (.565) edge in games played in Denver.  The two teams have split the last two weekend series at Magness Arena.

Game News and Notes

In the past seven meetings between the two teams, the Fighting Sioux have killed 40 of 45 Pioneer power play opportunities.  UND is 5-2-1 in the past eight games against the Pioneers, outscoring DU 26-15.  After five seasons of second-half surges, this year’s North Dakota team is off to its fastest start in the Dave Hakstol era with a 7-2-2 record.  Vegas oddsmakers are offering 6 to 5 that Denver head coach George Gwozdecky stands on the dasher at least once this weekend.

The Prediction

It will take a while for UND to adjust to altitude, and Denver will take advantage.  Look for a fair number of power plays on Friday night, as North Dakota will commit several hooking and holding violations.  On Saturday, the Fighting Sioux will respond in kind. DU 4-2, UND 3-1.

An Invitation from fightingsioux.com: The UND Alumni Association will be hosting a pre-game party prior to Saturday’s game. The celebration is from 5 to 6:30 p.m. at the Embassy Suites Denver Southeast and will feature remarks from UND President Dr. Robert Kelley and First Lady Marcia Kelley. A $10 admission price includes hors d’oeuvres and door prizes. A cash bar will also be available. For more information, contact Katie Compton at katiec@undalumni.net or at 800-543-8764.

Thank you for reading. I welcome your comments and suggestions.

A new look at home ice advantage in the WCHA

It started with a good article in the Grand Forks Herald on UND’s home attendance that suggested a link to UND’s (thereby jinxed) home winning streak. A big home ice advantage did mention a home advantage, but only included home winning percentages as supporting evidence. That’s fine, you don’t expect in-depth statistical analysis in a newspaper article that: is trying to make a different point, has a limited word count, and is targeted toward a non-statistical audience.

However, USCHO then ran with the idea of a piece on home advantage, but used home winning percentage to compare “home ice advantage” across teams. Given that, This Week in the WCHA unsurprisingly found that the best teams of the past decade had the largest “advantage” and the worst teams the smallest. They were interesting statistics, but I would argue that they compared teams’ home success, not home advantage.

The problem (for those who missed my Forum post on the topic) is that home winning percentage isn’t really the same thing as home ice advantage. The advantage of home ice is not how well you do at home, but how much BETTER you do at home.

Sticking with winning as the measure for now, here’s how each WCHA team did in WCHA play at home and on the road from the 2001-02 season through the 2008-09 season.

home
win%

road
win%
increased
likelihood
of winning
at home

home

road

wins
losses
ties
wins
losses
ties
CC 74 32 6 52 42 18 0.688 0.545 0.143 26.23%
AA 30 63 19 20 79 13 0.353 0.237 0.116 49.06%
UW 59 40 13 44 50 18 0.585 0.473 0.112 23.58%
Mankato 48 46 18 37 60 15 0.509 0.397 0.112 28.09%
SCSU 56 42 14 47 52 13 0.563 0.478 0.085 17.76%
Mtech 28 64 20 24 76 12 0.339 0.268 0.071 26.67%
UND 62 34 16 60 43 9 0.625 0.576 0.049 8.53%
UMD 45 53 14 38 56 18 0.464 0.420 0.045 10.64%
Denver 65 35 12 61 37 14 0.634 0.607 0.027 4.41%
UMN 62 36 14 62 34 16 0.616 0.625 -0.009 -1.43%

That’s still not quite a perfect measure of home advantage, but as a comparison between performance at home vs. on the road, it’s quite a bit closer.

Anyone who wants to keep the ball rolling by writing a followup critical of this post should start with these caveats:

  • To read this table as measure of home ice advantage would be to pretend that away games are neutral, whereas they instead actually include some home advantage for the opponent
  • It doesn’t correct for strength-of-schedule (e.g. the measure would be distorted if a team scheduled tough opponents at home and cupcakes on the road)
  • It compares only WCHA games
    • This is useful because it actually corrects a little bit for the above two. The WCHA schedule over 8 seasons is somewhat round-robin (though not perfectly so, due to the “rivals” system)
    • However, home advantage could be different when hosting non-conference foes less familiar with a team and its venue
  • I’ve never actually seen anyone try to measure home advantage using win%, it’s usually measured in points scored or scoring differential. So, there may be more problems with this measure that I’m not thinking of right now.

Here’s a quick look, for UND only, at how things would change with different sets of games counted.

home
win%

road
win%
increased
likelihood
of winning
at home

home

road

wins
losses
ties
wins
losses
ties
WCHA games only 62 34 16 60 43 9 0.625 0.576 .049 8.53%
All games (incl. exhibition) 126 54 17 87 57 12 0.683 0.596 .087 14.52%
Exclude tournament games 104 43 17 79 50 12 0.686 0.603 .083 13.79%

This seems to support one of my criticisms above of only including WCHA games — UND’s home advantage is a bit higher hosting non-conference opponents.

One additional point about this table — I was never able to come up with selection criteria that precisely matched the records cited by the USCHO and Herald articles. Focusing on ties, for example, I count 17 total home ties since 2001-02 (18 if you include the tie vs. Minnesota in 2009-10), whereas USCHO and the Herald cite 21 home ties. I compared the schedules at SiouxSports.com, FightingSioux.com, and CollegeHockeyStats.net (see useful summaries at bottom), but couldn’t figure it out. If anyone has any theories or explanations, I’d love to hear them and will cheerfully make any necessary corrections.

Resources

Weekend Preview: UND vs. St. Cloud State

This could be a difficult stretch for St. Cloud State. Before Christmas, the Huskies will play two games each at North Dakota, Denver, and Alaska-Anchorage and home series against Wisconsin and Colorado College. The trip to UAA is never easy, and their other four 2009 opponents sport a combined record of 21-9-4.

SCSU has had an uneven season so far, going unbeaten (2-0-2) at home while winning only one game on the road (1-3-0). Garrett Roe has been a bright spot up front for the Huskies (two goals and eight points in eight games), but he will serve a suspension on Friday night for an unspecified violation of team rules.

North Dakota has come out firing, with only a 2-1 setback at Anchorage spoiling an otherwise stellar record (6-1-1). UND enjoys a huge advantage in special teams play, and boasts scoring depth and a gigantic home-ice edge. The Fighting Sioux began their current 16 game home unbeaten streak (13-0-3) with a sweep against the Huskies in December 2008.

This weekend, the teams will be earning points for the UND/SCSU Challenge Cup, a traveling fan trophy awarded to the team which wins the four-game season series. The Cup will be awarded in St. Cloud on February 13, 2010. North Dakota has won at least a share of the Challenge Cup each of the past three seasons.

St. Cloud State Team Profile

Head Coach: (Bob Motzko, 5th season at SCSU, 84-63-21, .563)
National Ranking: NR
This Season: 3-3-2, 2-1-1 WCHA
Last Season: 18-17-3 overall, 13-13-2 WCHA (6th)
Team Offense: 2.38 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 2.25 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 18.4% (9 of 49)
Penalty Kill: 84.4% (27 of 32)
Key Players: Junior F Garrett Roe (2-6-8), Junior F Tony Mosey (3-3-6), Senior F Ryan Lasch (2-1-3), Senior D Craig Gaudet (1-3-4), Junior G Dan Dunn (2-1-0, 1.98 GAA, .924 SV%)

North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 136-72-20, .640)
National Ranking: #2/#2
This Season: 6-1-1, 4-1-1 WCHA
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.62 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.50 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 26.0% (13 of 50)
Penalty Kill: 92.7% (38 of 41)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (2-7-9), Sophomore F Jason Gregoire (5-0-5), Junior F Evan Trupp (4-4-8), Senior D Chay Genoway (4-6-10), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (5-1-1, 1.70 GAA, .915 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers

Last Meeting: January 31, 2009 (St. Cloud, MN). North Dakota rebounds to defeat St. Cloud State 4-2 after suffering their first shutout loss of the season in Friday’s opener (3-0). Senior captain Ryan Duncan scored the game-winner for the Fighting Sioux.
Last Meeting in Grand Forks: December 13, 2008. Brett Hextall scored the game-winner with five seconds remaining in the second period as North Dakota defeated St. Cloud 7-4. UND won the opener, 3-2.
Most Important Meeting: March 17, 2001 (St. Paul, MN). St. Cloud State defeated North Dakota 6-5 to claim the 2001 WCHA Final Five Championship. Derek Eastman scored the game-winner in overtime after UND scored three goals in the final ten minutes of regulation to force the extra session.
All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series, 50-27-10 (.632), and holds a record of 26-11-5 (.679) in games played in Grand Forks. The Huskies are 3-8-3 in games played in the new Ralph Engelstad Arena since it opened in 2001.

Game News and Notes

The Sioux are 19-12-3 all-time on Friday the 13th and have lost just once in their last nine games (6-1-2) on Paraskavedekatriaphobia Day. Last season UND defeated Minnesota State University – Mankato 4-1 on Friday, February 13th. North Dakota has not lost in its last 16 home contests (13-0-3). UND’s penalty kill is the second best in the country. Huskies leading scorer Garrett Roe will miss Friday’s series opener due to a violation of team rules. SCSU head coach Bob Motzko would not elaborate on the suspension.

The Prediction

North Dakota will continue its home unbeaten streak, but it won’t be easy. Both teams will need to strike a balance between playing a physical brand of hockey and staying our of the penalty box. SCSU will keep both games close and will steal at least one point this weekend. UND 3-2, 2-2 tie.

On a Personal Note

I look forward to this series every year because of the unique relationship we have with the Center Ice Club, the official hockey booster organization for the St. Cloud State University Huskies. On behalf of SiouxSports.com, I would like to invite you to the UND/SCSU pre-game social on Saturday afternoon from 3:00 to 6:00 p.m. at Southgate Grill and Bar. This is a great opportunity to meet fans on both sides of the rivalry, and the Challenge Cup will be on display. This event is free and open to all fans 21 and older.

I thank you for reading. As always, I welcome your comments and suggestions.

UND/SCSU Fan Social Set For November 14th

Please join us for the UND/SCSU pre-game social, an annual event which provides an opportunity for fans of the University of North Dakota and St. Cloud State University to gather, celebrate the great sport of hockey, and award the UND/SCSU Challenge Cup, a traveling trophy which is presented to the team which collects more points in the four regular-season games between the schools.

This event will be held on Saturday, November 14th from 3:00 p.m. to 6:00 p.m. at Southgate Grill and Bar in Grand Forks. It is free and open to the public (due to the venue, guests must be 21 years of age or older). SiouxSports.com is the title sponsor for the event in Grand Forks, while the Center Ice Club (the official hockey booster organization for the St. Cloud State University Huskies) hosts the social in St. Cloud every year.

Fans of both teams enjoy the camaraderie at these social events and regularly comment that the connection between the two fan bases is among the best in college hockey.

For a complete preview of this weekend’s series, click here.

Sponsors for this event include:

American Federal Bank
AZSioux.com
Barry’s Collectors Corner
Daydreams Specialties
Domino’s Pizza
Fargo Force
Happy Joe’s Pizza
Hickey Designs
McPherson’s Jewelry
Nature’s Country Store
Ralph Engelstad Arena
Red Pepper
Southgate Grill and Bar
University of North Dakota Bookstore
Vaaler Insurance

Weekend Preview: UND at Michigan Tech

The two teams have met twelve times over the past two seasons, and will play at least four games this year. In addition to the normal league schedule, the two teams met at the Great Lakes Invitational in December 2008 and have faced each other in the league playoffs each of the past two seasons. It is possible that the Huskies will play back-to-back weekends in Grand Forks in March, depending on the league playoff pairings.

Twelve games in two seasons is believed to be the most against one opponent in that span.

The Huskies have struggled on special teams so far this season, converting only 12.5 percent on the power play and killing less than 66 percent of penalties. Conversely, UND is over 24 percent with the man advantage and has allowed only one power play goal this season (27 of 28, 96.4%). If these statistics weren’t bad enough for Michigan Tech, consider that MTU is taking an average of six more minutes in penalties per game than their opponents (21 minutes to 15 minutes), while the Fighting Sioux are nearly even (20.5 minutes to 18.8 minutes). Michigan Tech must play at even strength this weekend to compete.

Michigan Tech Team Profile

Head Coach: (Jamie Russell, 7th season at MTU, 63-141-32, .335)
National Ranking: NR
This Season: 2-4-0, 1-3-0 WCHA
Last Season: 6-25-7 overall, 2-19-7 WCHA (10th)
Team Offense: 2.67 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 3.67 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 12.5% (4 of 32)
Penalty Kill: 65.9% (27 of 41)
Key Players: Sophomore F Brett Olson (4-6-10), Senior F Malcolm Gwilliam (5-3-8), Sophomore F Alex MacLeod (2-2-4), Freshman D Steven Seigo (0-5-5), Freshman G Kevin Genoe (1-2-0, 2.22 GAA, .924 SV%)

North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 134-72-20, .637)
National Ranking: #3/#2
This Season: 4-1-1, 2-1-1 WCHA
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.50 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.50 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 24.3% (9 of 37)
Penalty Kill: 96.4% (27 of 28)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (1-5-6), Sophomore F Jason Gregoire (3-0-3), Sophomore F Brett Hextall (2-0-2), Senior D Chay Genoway (4-3-7), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (3-1-1, 1.78 GAA, .906 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers

Last Meeting: March 14, 2009 (Grand Forks, ND). North Dakota held on for a 4-3 victory and a sweep of the WCHA first-round playoff series. It would turn out to be UND’s last victory of the 2008-09 season, as the Fighting Sioux lost both games at the WCHA Final Five (to Minnesota-Duluth and Wisconsin) and dropped their NCAA tournament opener to New Hampshire in overtime.
Last Meeting in Houghton: January 7, 2009. UND freshman net minder Brad Eidsness picked up his first career shutout (14 saves) as North Dakota rolled 5-0 to gain three points out of the weekend series with the homestanding Huskies.
Most Important Meeting: The Sioux and Huskies have never met in the NCAA tournament, so I will go with the most important meeting that never was: in 1965, the Sioux lost to Boston College, 4-3, one game short of the national championship game, where they would have faced the Michigan Tech Huskies, who won the second of their three titles by defeating the Eagles. UND settled for third place that season, downing Brown University, 9-5. North Dakota went 13-3-0 in the regular season in 1964-65, with two of those three losses coming at the hands of Michigan Tech.
All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series, 136-90-9 (.598), including a slim 57-55-5 (.509) record in Houghton. The teams first met in 1948.

Game News and Notes

Sioux seniors Chay Genoway and Chris Vandevelde have each notched ten points in 13 career games against Michigan Tech. MTU senior forward Malcolm Gwilliam is off to a great start after returning from a stroke. Gwilliam has five goals and three assists in his first six games. This weekend’s series will mark the beginning of seven consecutive weekends with at least one game for North Dakota. UND will not be idle again until December 25th and 26th.

The Prediction

If Michigan Tech can stay out of the penalty box against UND, they have a shot at a split. If there’s a parade to the penalty box, North Dakota’s edge in special teams will show up on the scoreboard. 2-2 tie, UND 5-1.

Weekend Preview: UND at Alaska-Anchorage

This has all the makings of an upset weekend. North Dakota, fresh off of a three point weekend against Minnesota, travels up to Anchorage to take on the Seawolves. Despite dominating UAA in Grand Forks (24-3-3), the Fighting Sioux are just one game over .500 (14-13-0) in games played up where “you can see Russia from my house”.

UND did notch a two-game sweep in Anchorage last season, but needed Chay Genoway’s overtime goal to do it. Before that, the last Sioux road sweep of the Seawolves was in January 2003.

This season, UAA has competed in two tournaments in Alaska, the Kendall Hockey Classic and the Brice Alaska Gold Rush. The Seawolves split their games in each tournament, and bring a 2-2-0 non-conference mark into the weekend series with North Dakota. The Fighting Sioux have not lost this season, sweeping Merrimack and taking three of four points from the Gophers.

Alaska-Anchorage Team Profile

Head Coach: (Dave Shyiak, 5th season at UAA, 42-88-19, .346)
National Ranking: NR
This Season: 2-2-0, 0-0-0 WCHA
Last Season: 14-17-5 overall, 9-14-5 WCHA (9th)
Team Offense: 3.00 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 3.50 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 15.8% (3 of 19)
Penalty Kill: 83.3% (20 of 24)
Key Players: Senior F Kevin Clark (3-2-5), Junior F Tommy Grant (2-3-5), Senior F Josh Lunden (2-1-3), Sophomore D Curtis Leinweber (1-2-3), Junior D Kane Lafranchise (0-2-2), Senior G Jon Olthuis (2-1-0, 2.69 GAA, .897 SV%, 1 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile

Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 133-71-20, .638)
National Ranking: #2/#2
This Season: 3-0-1, 1-0-1 WCHA
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Team Offense: 3.75 goals scored/game
Team Defense: 1.75 goals allowed/game
Power Play: 24.0% (6 of 25)
Penalty Kill: 100.0% (15 of 15)
Key Players: Senior F Chris VandeVelde (1-3-4), Sophomore F Jason Gregoire (2-0-2), Sophomore F Brett Hextall (2-0-2), Senior D Chay Genoway (3-3-6), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (3-0-1, 1.72 GAA, .908 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers

Last meeting: February 21, 2009 (Anchorage, AK). Kevin Clark scored for the homestanding Seawolves less than three minutes into the game, but the Fighting Sioux tallied three goals of their own in the opening period and completed the road sweep with a 6-2 victory. Chris Vandevelde netted a hat trick on Saturday, while Chay Genoway scored the overtime winner for UND on Friday night.
Most Important Meeting: March 19, 2004 (St. Paul, MN). The Fighting Sioux and Seawolves met in the semifinal round of the WCHA Final Five, and UND cruised to the championship game with a 4-2 victory.
All-time Series: UND leads the all-time series, 39-16-3 (.698) and holds a slim advantage (14-13-0) in games played in Anchorage. The Fighting Sioux have only lost once in the last eight meetings between the teams (6-1-1), with two of those eight games going to overtime.

Game News and Notes

Both games this weekend will be televised live on the Fighting Sioux Sports Network, but will not be carried on Fox College Sports. The puck drops at 10:07 Central Time both nights. North Dakota sophomore forwards Jason Gregoire and Brett Hextall have each scored four points in four career games against the Seawolves. These games mark the WCHA conference opener for the Seawolves and the first road trip of the season for North Dakota.

The Prediction

Friday’s game will be the troublesome game for North Dakota, and the result will hinge on special teams play. I expect the opener to be tied going into the third, with one goaltender or the other stealing the game. Saturday’s rematch will be all UND. UAA 3-2, UND 5-1.

As always, thank you for reading. I welcome your comments and suggestions.

Weekend Preview: UND vs. Minnesota

When the Sioux and Gophers met in Grand Forks in January of last season, Minnesota was ranked third nationally, while North Dakota was unranked. The Fighting Sioux routed the Maroon and Gold in two straight games, pulled even with Minnesota in the conference standings, and rode that momentum all the way to the WCHA conference championship and the NCAA tournament. Starting with that weekend, North Dakota went 13-2-3 on their way to the WCHA Final Five, while Minnesota went 7-10-2 the rest of the way and failed to make the national tournament even though they were serving as host of the West Regional.

This season , it’s too early to tell which team should come out on top this weekend. Both teams are searching for line combinations and identity, and it’s almost a shame that these crucial games need to be played this early in the season.

All that being said, this weekend’s games are critical for league points, momentum, and the all-important Sioux-Gopher rivalry.

Minnesota Team Profile
Head Coach: Don Lucia (11th season at Minnesota, 256-126-45, .652)
National Ranking: #8/#9
This Season: 0-0-0, 0-0-0 WCHA
Last Season: 17-13-7 overall (missed NCAA tournament), 12-11-5 WCHA (5th)
Key Returning Players (last season‘s statistics): Sophomore F Jordan Schroeder (13-32-45), Senior F Jay Barriball (11-23-34), Junior F Mike Carman (8-9-17), Junior D Cade Fairchild (9-24-33), Junior G Alex Kangas (17-11-6, 2.79 GAA, .901 SV%, 3 SO)

North Dakota Team Profile
Head Coach: Dave Hakstol (6th season at UND, 132-71-19, .637)
National Ranking: #4/#4
This Season: 2-0-0, 0-0-0 WCHA
Last Season: 24-15-4 overall (NCAA Northeast Regional semifinalist), 17-7-4 WCHA (1st)
Key Returning Players (last season’s statistics): Senior F Chris VandeVelde (18-17-35), Sophomore F Jason Gregoire (12-17-29), Sophomore F Brett Hextall (12-14-26), Senior D Chay Genoway (3-29-32), Sophomore G Brad Eidsness (24-12-4, 2.56 GAA, .906 SV%, 1 SO)

By The Numbers
Last meeting: January 10, 2009 (Grand Forks). North Dakota routs Minnesota 6-1 to complete the weekend sweep over the visiting Gophers. Coming in to the weekend, Minnesota had lost three games all season (10-3-5).
Most important meeting: March 24, 1979 (Detroit, MI). North Dakota and Minnesota met to decide the national championship, and the Gophers prevailed, 4-3.
All-time: Minnesota leads the all-time series, 130-124-12 (.511), while North Dakota leads in games played in Grand Forks, 66-53-7 (.552).

Game News and Notes
North Dakota has had the better of the play lately, going 9-2-1 in the past three seasons (with both losses coming by one goal). Sioux seniors Chay Genoway and Chris Vandvelde each have six points in ten career games against Minnesota. The last time the two teams met in the conference opener for both schools was in 1999, when visiting North Dakota managed a tie and a win in Don Lucia’s first WCHA games as the new Gophers’ head coach. This weekend is a White Out Weekend at Ralph Engelstad Arena, with Fighting Sioux fans encouraged to wear white to both games. In an effort to minimize traffic and congestion at the arena, Gopher fans are asked to arrive at 10:37 p.m.

The Prediction

Minnesota has only one exhibition contest worth of game experience this season, and the Gophers were off last weekend. The rust will show on Friday, but I expect Saturday’s contest to be much more closely contested. UND 4-1, UM 4-3.