Here’s a quick PairWise Rankings update at the break in action.
At the request of some gentlemen on the USCHO forum I’ve tried adding a probability of making the tournament statistic. It’s based on a combination of the team’s rank and the number of non top 16 autoqualifiers in each scenario. When perfected, it should provide some really useful information, but I just whipped it up this afternoon and it has not been through much quality control so for now should definitely be treated as experimental and not quoted.
| Team | PWR Possibilities | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | If team wins none |
If team wins all |
|
| Boston College | 1 75.0% 2 25.0% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
1 75.0% 2 25.0% |
1 75.0% 2 25.0% |
| Michigan | 2 66.0% 3 29.0% 4 4.2% 5 0.8% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
2 47.9% 3 37.1% 4 12.5% 5 2.5% |
2 75.0% 3 25.0% |
| Miami | 3 0.2% 4 3.0% 5 7.9% 6 9.5% 7 12.6% 8 16.5% 9 14.1% 10 16.6% 11 15.4% 12 4.1% 13 0.2% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
7 6.2% 8 19.2% 9 20.5% 10 24.8% 11 23.0% 12 6.1% 13 0.3% |
3 0.7% 4 8.9% 5 23.7% 6 28.5% 7 25.5% 8 11.1% 9 1.4% 10 0.3% |
| UMD | 1 25.0% 2 0.0% 3 3.0% 4 7.9% 5 13.4% 6 10.2% 7 19.5% 8 16.0% 9 4.6% 10 0.3% 11 0.0% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
5 1.9% 6 17.1% 7 39.0% 8 31.9% 9 9.3% 10 0.7% 11 0.1% |
1 100.0% |
| Ferris State | 3 3.4% 4 16.0% 5 32.5% 6 30.8% 7 14.7% 8 2.5% 9 0.1% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
n/a | n/a |
| Boston University | 2 4.0% 3 20.1% 4 12.8% 5 6.4% 6 3.8% 7 4.6% 8 10.8% 9 16.9% 10 11.7% 11 5.9% 12 2.5% 13 0.4% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
7 4.9% 8 20.3% 9 33.7% 10 23.4% 11 11.9% 12 5.1% 13 0.8% |
2 16.1% 3 63.7% 4 20.2% |
| UMN | 2 0.6% 3 12.8% 4 11.2% 5 7.4% 6 9.1% 7 13.9% 8 16.3% 9 15.0% 10 9.9% 11 3.5% 12 0.2% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
5 0.2% 6 2.6% 7 13.8% 8 27.7% 9 28.5% 10 19.8% 11 6.9% 12 0.5% |
2 2.5% 3 47.9% 4 36.7% 5 9.4% 6 2.7% 7 0.9% |
| Maine | 3 2.5% 4 6.3% 5 9.1% 6 4.8% 7 2.3% 8 1.2% 9 4.0% 10 12.6% 11 20.9% 12 24.6% 13 11.2% 14 0.5% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
10 0.0% 11 29.7% 12 47.1% 13 22.2% 14 0.9% |
3 9.9% 4 25.2% 5 36.5% 6 19.3% 7 9.0% |
| UND | 2 0.7% 3 8.6% 4 13.6% 5 2.8% 6 4.7% 7 7.7% 8 9.2% 9 13.9% 10 20.0% 11 15.6% 12 3.0% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
7 1.1% 8 6.6% 9 20.7% 10 35.5% 11 30.3% 12 5.8% |
2 2.9% 3 34.5% 4 54.3% 5 8.3% |
| Mass.-Lowell | 6 1.1% 7 4.8% 8 11.8% 9 16.4% 10 13.7% 11 22.2% 12 23.4% 13 6.4% 14 0.3% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
n/a | n/a |
| Michigan State | 13 9.5% 14 31.3% 15 49.5% 16 4.5% 17 5.3% Tournament invites: 12560 (68.1%) |
n/a | n/a |
| Western Michigan | 9 0.0% 10 0.4% 11 3.1% 12 8.4% 13 24.9% 14 39.4% 15 23.9% Tournament invites: 15698 (85.2%) |
13 6.5% 14 45.7% 15 47.8% |
9 0.0% 10 0.8% 11 6.2% 12 16.7% 13 43.3% 14 33.0% |
| Denver | 3 2.7% 4 4.7% 5 6.6% 6 8.8% 7 2.0% 8 1.3% 9 3.1% 10 7.8% 11 11.5% 12 29.5% 13 17.1% 14 5.0% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
11 1.9% 12 53.9% 13 34.1% 14 10.0% |
3 10.9% 4 18.8% 5 26.3% 6 35.0% 7 7.8% 8 1.2% |
| Northern Michigan | 14 2.2% 15 23.3% 16 74.1% 17 0.4% Tournament invites: 2808 (15.2%) |
n/a | n/a |
| Union | 2 3.7% 3 17.7% 4 20.0% 5 10.2% 6 9.3% 7 10.1% 8 10.2% 9 10.2% 10 6.6% 11 1.9% 12 0.2% Tournament invites: 18432 (100.0%) |
4 2.1% 5 6.5% 6 13.8% 7 19.2% 8 20.3% 9 20.4% 10 13.3% 11 3.9% 12 0.4% |
2 7.3% 3 35.4% 4 37.9% 5 13.8% 6 4.7% 7 0.9% |
| Merrimack | 15 0.6% 16 12.4% 17 74.3% 18 12.7% Tournament invites: 106 (0.6%) |
n/a | n/a |
| SCSU | 21 0.7% 22 14.0% 23 44.2% 24 32.7% 25 8.5% Tournament invites: 0 (0.0%) |
n/a | n/a |
| Cornell | 4 0.4% 5 2.8% 6 7.9% 7 7.9% 8 4.3% 9 1.6% 10 0.3% 11 0.0% 12 4.2% 13 30.4% 14 21.3% 15 2.6% 16 8.4% 17 8.1% 18 0.0% Tournament invites: 14908 (80.9%) |
13 15.3% 14 27.3% 15 7.7% 16 25.2% 17 24.4% 18 0.0% |
4 1.7% 5 11.0% 6 31.4% 7 31.4% 8 17.2% 9 6.3% 10 1.0% |
| Harvard | 15 0.2% 16 0.7% 17 11.8% 18 4.1% 19 31.4% 20 13.9% 21 3.5% 22 1.2% 23 4.1% 24 4.1% 25 9.0% 26 5.9% 27 9.9% Tournament invites: 4608 (25.0%) |
22 0.8% 23 12.1% 24 12.3% 25 27.1% 26 17.8% 27 29.8% |
15 0.6% 16 2.8% 17 47.4% 18 16.3% 19 32.9% |