Everyone’s favorite college hockey ranking system, KRACH, has the nice feature that it can be used to assign probabilities to potential matchups.
Here’s what KRACH’s forecast for the odds for each team emerging as the winner of each round the NCAA Ice Hockey tournament:
| KRACH | West | Game 1 | Game 2 (Region Champ) |
Game 3 (Frozen four semifinal) |
Game 4 (National Champ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.8926 | 1. Boston College | 68.66% | 42.72% | 22.63% | 13.81% |
| 36.4671 | 4. Colorado Collage | 31.34% | 13.48% | 4.70% | 1.97% |
| 55.0304 | 2. Michigan | 57.52% | 26.95% | 11.90% | 6.19% |
| 40.6427 | 3. Nebraska Omaha | 42.48% | 16.85% | 6.27% | 2.79% |
| Midwest | |||||
| 100 | 1. North Dakota | 81.39% | 54.59% | 34.39% | 22.75% |
| 22.8697 | 4. Rensselaer | 18.61% | 6.02% | 1.73% | 0.54% |
| 59.5685 | 2. Denver | 64.04% | 28.07% | 14.21% | 7.67% |
| 33.4557 | 3. Western Michigan | 35.96% | 11.31% | 4.17% | 1.66% |
| Northeast | |||||
| 56.1059 | 1. Miami (OH) | 60.12% | 33.87% | 17.49% | 7.86% |
| 37.2172 | 4. New Hampshire | 39.88% | 18.39% | 7.67% | 2.72% |
| 43.2361 | 2. Merrimack | 49.70% | 23.66% | 10.72% | 4.16% |
| 43.7543 | 3. Notre Dame | 50.30% | 24.09% | 10.98% | 4.29% |
| East | |||||
| 64.4313 | 1. Yale | 83.12% | 48.35% | 28.17% | 13.59% |
| 13.0846 | 4. Air Force | 16.88% | 3.74% | 0.83% | 0.14% |
| 38.8342 | 2. Union | 42.46% | 18.63% | 8.53% | 3.10% |
| 52.6189 | 3. Minnesota Duluth | 57.54% | 29.28% | 15.60% | 6.77% |